“I really could care less which is the better model because we have access to them both,” said James Franklin, branch chief of the hurricane specialist unit. Still, with hurricane season starting Saturday, forecasters say the average person living in a coastal area shouldn’t worry about the capability gap between the computers. “The money we spend on weather forecasts and improving them pays for itself.” did invest more money and people into making the model better, then the forecast would be better,” Masters said. Jeff Masters, meteorology director at the online forecasting service Weather Underground, said that other than Hurricane Sandy, the American model outperformed the European model during the 2012 hurricane season – but if you look at a three-year period, the European model still comes out on top. The European model is able to pick up on those storms earlier than our model.” “Certainly one area of concern that has received some attention were these larger high-impact extreme weather events. “This will improve weather forecasting across the board,” said Christopher Vaccaro, a spokesman for the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration. and the other in Reston, Va., – will receive $25 million in upgrades as part of the Hurricane Sandy supplemental bill that was recently approved by Congress. The two main forecasting computers – one in Orlando, Fla. Meteorologists agree that the two American supercomputers that provide storm models are underpowered – which is why the National Weather Service plans on upgrading those computers in the next two years. numerical weather prediction is an embarrassment to the nation and it does not have to be this way,” wrote Cliff Maas, a professor of atmospheric sciences at the University of Washington on his weather blog.
“Let me be blunt: the state of operational U.S. The American model eventually predicted Sandy’s landfall four days before the storm hit – plenty of time for preparation – but revealed a potential weakness in the American computer compared to the European system. However, the plots diverged in the long-term, with less agreement and not as much confidence in the projected track. Spaghetti plots (model data) were in general agreement in the short-term as to where Sandy was headed.
Hurricane Sandy was a minimal Category 1 Storm (75 mph winds) at 100 pm CDT on.
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